Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
3 - 0
Portimonense

Carlinhos (6' og.), Jaba (13'), Nakamura (25' og.)
Lima (28'), Varela (42'), Luiz (89'), Reis (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ventura (23'), Dener (38'), Sergio (45+7'), Pedrao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Portimonense
34.31% ( -0.05)	26.19% ( -0.02)	39.5% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.36% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

0.06)

51.18% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

0.06)

73.02% (

-0.05)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

-0)

28.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

-0)

64.19% (

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

0.07)

25.44% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

0.09)

60.26% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 34.31%

Portimonense 39.5%

Draw 26.19%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.31%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.5%