Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Estrela Amadora
Jan 29, 2024 6.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Benfica
  • Leo Jaba 28' goal
  • Regis N'do 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 41'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 44'
  • goal Rafa Silva 45'+1'
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 52'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 90'+3'

Estrela Amadora vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 8.30pm
Guimaraes 3 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 8.15pm
Benfica 2 - 0 Boavista
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Rafa Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 9.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-3 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Estrela Amadora 9.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 16.63% ▲ (+0.16)
Benfica 73.72% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.99% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.67% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 41.33% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 36.27% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 3.5 63.73% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 4.5 19.22% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 4.5 80.77% ▲ (+0.60)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 50.94% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 0.5 49.06% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 1.5 16% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 1.5 83.99% ▲ (+0.39)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 90.29% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 9.71% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 67.65% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 32.35% ▲ (+0.54)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 9.65%
Draw 16.63%
Benfica 73.71%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 9.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 16.63%
Benfica
0-2 @ 12.95% ▲ (+0.19)
0-1 @ 11.1% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.09)
0-5 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.07)
1-5 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.06)
0-6 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 73.71%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Benfica
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estrela Amadora
  • Joao Neves 37' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 44' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 50' yellowcard
  • Casper Tengstedt 79' goal
  • Rafa Silva 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Joneston Omorwa 11'
  • yellowcard Mansur 55'
  • yellowcard Hevertton Ciriaco Santos 90'+6'
Taca da Liga
Estrela Amadora
Nov 20, 2022 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio José Gomes da Costa
Benfica
  • Joao Silva 22' goal
  • Gustavo Rodrigues 90'+5' goal
  • goal Petar Musa 13'
  • goal Chiquinho 29'
  • goal Julian Draxler 90'

Form Data

Guimaraes 3 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 1 Vizela
Estrela Amadora 1 - 4 Arouca
Farense 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 3 - 1 Boavista
Benfica 1 - 1 Estoril
Benfica 2 - 0 Boavista
Benfica 4 - 1 Rio Ave
Benfica 3 - 2 Braga
Arouca 0 - 3 Benfica
Benfica 3 - 0 Famalicao