Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Nuno Santos 14' goal
  • Tiago Silva 24' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 79' goal
  • Andre Silva 88' goal
  • yellowcard Johnstone Omorwa 18'
  • redcard Hevertton Santos 71'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jota Silva

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2024 3.30pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 64.55% (-0.06)
Draw 21% (+0.04)
Estrela Amadora 14.45% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.87% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.56% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 48.44% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 29.43% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.57% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.28% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.72% (+0.08)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 85.72% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 14.28% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 57.93% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 42.07% (+0.11)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 54.68% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 45.32% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 18.81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.19% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 64.54%
Draw 21%
Estrela Amadora 14.45%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.59% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.25% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.87% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 64.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.45%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Miguel Lopes 20' redcard
  • Joao Reis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Leo Jaba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kikas 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Sergio Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira 90'+11' redcard
  • yellowcard Ze Carlos 19'
  • goal Jota Silva 24'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 70'