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Alejandro Marques
38'
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Mateus Fernandes
57'
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Joao Marques
71'
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Mor Ndiaye
75'
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Leonel Bucca
79'
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Pedro Sa
85'
Estoril Praia vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Estoril Praia Goals
Estrela Amadora Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 50.91%
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 25.81%
Head to Head
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Ronaldo Tavares
47'
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Ronald Pereira Martins
87'
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Leo Cordeiro
90'+10'
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Joao Marques
67'
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Jordan Holsgrove
87'