Europa League
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 13' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 43' goal
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 61' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 64' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 38'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 67'

Roma vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 42.34% (+0.22)
Draw 24.29% (+0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.36% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.62% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.04% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.96% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.64% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 65.36% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.99% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82% (+0.06)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 79.55% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 20.44% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 47.1% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 52.89% (-0.10)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.94% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 25.06% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 40.26% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 59.74% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Roma 42.34%
Draw 24.29%
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.36%
Roma
2-1 @ 8.93% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.13% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.46% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 33.36%

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