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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
2 - 4
Inter Milan

Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Inter Milan

Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
33.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 27.26% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 38.94% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.205 -0.2)55.61% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.168 -0.17)76.77% (0.167 0.17)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.95% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.181 -0.18)27.81% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.229 -0.23)63.4% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Roma 33.79%
    Inter Milan 38.94%
    Draw 27.25%
RomaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
22.0%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
63.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
1-0
Roma
Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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