Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Jonathan Ikone 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 14'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 42'
  • yellowcard Yann Sommer 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 82'

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2024 5.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Udinese
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 7.45pm
Monza 1 - 5 Inter Milan
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result

Fiorentina 34.66% (-0.25)
Draw 25.53% (-0.07)
Inter Milan 39.82% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.65% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.74% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 48.26% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 29.59% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 70.41% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 14.39% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 85.61% (-0.18)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 73.18% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.82% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.89% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.11% (+0.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 76.04% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 23.96% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 41.81% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 58.19% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 34.66%
Draw 25.52%
Inter Milan 39.82%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.63% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.56% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.12% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.82%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 23' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 58' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 39'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Italiano 60'+60'
Coppa Italia
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 29'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 37'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 53'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Arthur Cabral 33' goal
  • Jonathan Ikone 60' goal
  • Luka Jovic 90' goal
  • goal Nicolo Barella 2'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 15'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 73'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Denzel Dumfries 55' goal
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 39'
  • goal Lucas Torreira 50'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Saponara 56'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Riccardo Sottil 23' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 78' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Milan Skriniar 18'
  • goal Matteo Darmian 52'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 55'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 63'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 83'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 87'