Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 1
Inter Milan

Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
34.66% ( -0.25)	25.53% ( -0.07)	39.82% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 55.65% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.74% (

0.28)

48.26% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.59% (

0.26)

70.41% (

-0.25)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.01)

26.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

-0.02)

62.11% (

0.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

0.3)

23.96% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

0.42)

58.19% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 34.66%

Inter Milan 39.82%

Draw 25.52%

Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.66%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.82%