Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Juventus

Gatti (37' og.)
Mkhitaryan (51'), Thuram (77'), Inzaghi (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlahovic (18'), Danilo (32'), Bremer (87')

The Match

Match Report

Inter Milan record a narrow 1-0 victory over Juventus to move four points clear of their Serie A title rivals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, January 27 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
51.93% ( -0.08)	24.88% ( -0.24)	23.19% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 50.3% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.22% (

1.25)

51.78% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45% (

1.07)

73.55% (

-1.07)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

0.46)

19.92% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93% (

0.73)

52.07% (

-0.74)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

37.18% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

0.98)

73.97% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 51.93%

Juventus 23.19%

Draw 24.87%

Inter Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.93%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.19%