Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Juventus |
| 26.44% ( | 26.81% ( | 46.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( | 77.6% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.77% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( | 24.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( | 58.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 3-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.46% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-2 @ 9% ( 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.75% |