Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.05% ( 0.05) | 19.88% ( -0) | 16.07% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( -0.06) | 40.29% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( -0.06) | 62.67% ( 0.06) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.09% ( -0.01) | 11.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.75% ( -0.01) | 37.25% ( 0.01) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.86% ( -0.09) | 38.14% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.1% ( -0.09) | 74.9% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.05% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.88% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |