/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
-
Warren Bondo
62'
-
Andrea Carboni
87'
-
Rasmus Kristensen
25'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
38'
-
Romelu Lukaku
42'
-
Angelino
48'
-
Mile Svilar
58'
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Paulo Dybala
63'
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Leandro Paredes
82'
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Bryan Cristante
84'
Monza vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Monza
29.86%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
26.91%
▼
(-0.10)
Roma
43.23%
▲
(+0.26)
Both Teams to Score:
49.6%
▲
(+0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.69%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
55.31%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
23.47%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
76.53%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 4.5
10.4%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
89.6%
▼
(-0.16)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
66.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
33.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
29.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
70.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
74.63%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
25.37%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
39.84%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
60.16%
▼
(-0.37)
Score analysis
Monza
29.86%
Draw
26.91%
Roma
43.22%
Monza
1-0
@
9.29%
▼
(-0.10)
2-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.86%
2-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.86%
Draw
1-1
@
12.75%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.91%
0-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.91%
Roma
0-1
@
11.67%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.22%
1-2 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.22%
