MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 14:27:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Roma logo

Monza
1 - 4
Roma

Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-2 Roma

Both teams are now scoring regularly and will expect to take points off the other, with Monza far from pushovers on home soil. Roma's winning run may therefore be curtailed, as they settle for just one point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawRoma
29.86% (-0.163 -0.16) 26.91% (-0.096 -0.1) 43.23% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.298 0.3)55.31% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.243 0.24)76.53% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.26700000000001 0.27)25.37% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.364 0.36)60.16% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.86%
    Roma 43.22%
    Draw 26.91%
MonzaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Roma

Monza
22.1%
Draw
24.4%
Roma
53.5%
86
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!