Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
28.01% ( 0.02) | 24.65% ( 0.41) | 47.35% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( -1.78) | 47.04% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% ( -1.68) | 69.28% ( 1.68) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( -0.91) | 30.62% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.14% ( -1.09) | 66.86% ( 1.09) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( -0.89) | 19.93% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.92% ( -1.45) | 52.08% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |