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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Rennes

AC Milan
3 - 0
Rennes

Loftus-Cheek (32', 47'), Leao (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nagida (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AC Milan and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Rennes

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRennes
36.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.78% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)37.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)71.28% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.020000000000003 0.02)61.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.018999999999991 0.02)25.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.025000000000006 0.03)60.25% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 36.35%
    Rennes 37.86%
    Draw 25.77%
AC MilanDrawRennes
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.86%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Rennes

AC Milan
75.3%
Draw
16.7%
Rennes
8.0%
287