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Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna logo

AC Milan
2 - 2
Bologna

Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
50.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)24.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.012 0.01)48.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)50.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 50.5%
    Bologna 25.09%
    Draw 24.39%
AC MilanDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
88.1%
Draw
8.7%
Bologna
3.2%
126
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna
Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
> Preview