Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
| 30.85% ( | 24.88% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( | 46.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( | 68.83% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( | 28.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( | 64.12% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( | 53.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.27% |