Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Atalanta

Leao (45')
Hernandez (57'), Leao (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (45+2', 59' pen.)
Piero Gasperini (38'), Ederson (90')
Piero Gasperini (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, January 7 at 11.30am in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
48.06% (0.136 0.14)24.81% (0.223 0.22)27.13% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (-1.197 -1.2)48.34% (1.196 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-1.106 -1.11)70.48% (1.105 1.1)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-0.422 -0.42)20.16% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.679 -0.68)52.44% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (-0.902 -0.9)31.97% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (-1.041 -1.04)68.43% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.06%
    Atalanta BC 27.13%
    Draw 24.8%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.371 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.181 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Winner Match 31 vs Winner Match 32

Winner Match 31
73.8%
Draw
12.6%
Winner Match 32
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
Lookman (38', 55'), Muriel (90+5')
Ederson (72')
Giroud (45+3'), Jovic (80')
Reijnders (71'), Calabria (80'), Jovic (88'), Bennacer (90+2')
Calabria (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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