Coupe de France | Round of 32

Jan 21, 2024 at 8.05pm UK

Stade de la Route de Lorient

Rennes
1 - 1
Marseille

Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')

Rennes win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Marseille
36.78% ( -0.07)	25.08% ( -0.03)	38.14% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.46% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

0.14)

46.04% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66% (

0.13)

68.34% (

-0.14)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

0.03)

24.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

0.04)

59.04% (

-0.05)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.11)

23.83% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

0.16)

58.01% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Rennes 36.78%

Marseille 38.14%

Draw 25.08%

Rennes	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.78%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.14%