MX23RW : Monday, May 6 11:59:18| >> :600:3012144:3012144:
Rennes
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 8.05pm UK
Stade de la Route de Lorient
Marseille

Rennes
1 - 1
Marseille

Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')
Rennes win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-1 Marseille

Marseille have struggled to impose themselves away from home this season, and given the number of missing key players down the spine of the team, we are tipping Rennes to come away with the desired results this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
36.78% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 38.14% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.46% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.13800000000001 0.14)46.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (0.134 0.13)68.34% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.56% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.041000000000004 0.04)59.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.113 0.11)23.83% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (0.163 0.16)58.01% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 36.78%
    Marseille 38.14%
    Draw 25.08%
RennesDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.14%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
54.8%
Draw
14.3%
Marseille
31.0%
42
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')
rhs 2.0
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