Coupe de France
Jan 7, 2024 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Maxime Bourgeois 36' yellowcard
  • Joris Belgacem 69' yellowcard
  • Adrien Ferino 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 62'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 67'
  • yellowcard Bamo Meite 75'

Thionville Lusitanos vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Thionville Lusitanos

Marseille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 97.49%. A draw had a probability of 2.2% and a win for Thionville Lusitanos had a probability of 0.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-4 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.04%) and 0-5 (13.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.14%), while for a Thionville Lusitanos win it was 1-0 (0.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Thionville Lusitanos 0.32% (+0.31)
Draw 2.19% (+0.42)
Marseille 97.49% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

16.11% (-4.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 82.39% (-4.46)
Under 2.5 17.6% (+4.46)
Over 3.5 65.4% (-6.97)
Under 3.5 34.6% (+6.97)
Over 4.5 46.37% (-8.18)
Under 4.5 53.63% (+8.18)

Thionville Lusitanos Goals

Over 0.5 16.33% (-4.50)
Under 0.5 83.67% (+4.50)
Over 1.5 1.41% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 98.59% (+0.93)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 98.64% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 1.36% (-90.75)
Over 1.5 92.81% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 7.19% (+1.96)

Score analysis

Thionville Lusitanos 0.32%
Draw 2.19%
Marseille 97.47%
Thionville Lusitanos
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 0.32%
Draw
0-0 @ 1.14% (-71.77)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 2.19%
Marseille
0-4 @ 16.17% (+1.51)
0-3 @ 15.04% (+2.53)
0-5 @ 13.9% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 10.49% (+2.48)
0-6 @ 9.97% (-0.78)
0-7 @ 6.12% (-1.08)
0-1 @ 4.88% (+1.47)
0-8 @ 3.29% (-0.93)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.55)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.25)
1-5 @ 2.48% (-0.74)
1-2 @ 1.87%
1-6 @ 1.78% (-0.74)
0-9 @ 1.57% (-0.63)
1-7 @ 1.09% (-0.59)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 97.47%