Coupe de France | Round of 64

Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Thionville Lusitanos
0 - 1
Marseille

Bourgeois (36'), Belgacem (69'), Ferino (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aubameyang (62')
Nadir (67'), Meite (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Thionville Lusitanos and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Marseille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 97.49%. A draw had a probability of 2.2% and a win for Thionville Lusitanos had a probability of 0.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-4 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.04%) and 0-5 (13.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.14%), while for a Thionville Lusitanos win it was 1-0 (0.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Thionville Lusitanos	Draw	Marseille
0.32% ( 0)	2.19% ( 0.41)	97.49% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 16.11% (

-4.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.39% (

-4.46)

17.6% (

4.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.4% (

-6.97)

34.6% (

6.96)

Thionville Lusitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

16.33% (

-4.5)

83.67% (

4.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.41% (

-0.93)

98.59% (

0.92)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.64% (

-0.44)

1.36% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

92.81% (

-1.96)

7.19% (

1.95)

Score Analysis

Thionville Lusitanos 0.32%

Marseille 97.47%

Draw 2.19%

Thionville Lusitanos	Draw	Marseille
Other @ 0.32% Total : 0.32%	0-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.41) Other @ 1.05% Total : 2.19%	0-4 @ 16.17% ( 1.5) 0-3 @ 15.04% ( 2.53) 0-5 @ 13.9% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.49% ( 2.48) 0-6 @ 9.97% ( -0.77) 0-7 @ 6.12% ( -1.07) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 1.46) 0-8 @ 3.29% ( -0.93) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.24) 1-5 @ 2.48% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 1.87% 1-6 @ 1.78% ( -0.73) 0-9 @ 1.57% ( -0.62) 1-7 @ 1.09% ( -0.59) Other @ 3.25% Total : 97.47%