/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fclelog.png)
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Michael Murillo
26'
-
Amine Harit
42'
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Jim Allevinah
58'
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Alidu Seidu
67'
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Pascal Gastien
85'
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Maximiliano Caufriez
89'
Marseille vs Clermont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F50%2Fgennaro-gattuso.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
65.58%
▲
(+1.45)
Draw
20.19%
▼
(-0.77)
Clermont
14.23%
▼
(-0.68)
Both Teams to Score:
48.88%
▲
(+0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.55%
▲
(+1.92)
Under 2.5
45.45%
▼
(-1.92)
Over 3.5
32.22%
▲
(+1.81)
Under 3.5
67.78%
▼
(-1.81)
Over 4.5
16.23%
▲
(+1.28)
Under 4.5
83.77%
▼
(-1.27)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
86.97%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 0.5
13.03%
▼
(-1.03)
Over 1.5
60.41%
▲
(+2.06)
Under 1.5
39.59%
▼
(-2.06)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5
56.21%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
43.8%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
20.05%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
79.95%
▼
(-0.18)
Score analysis
Marseille
65.58%
Draw
20.19%
Clermont
14.23%
Marseille
2-0
@
11.85%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 11.63% ▼ (-0.50)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.26)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 65.58%
1-0 @ 11.63% ▼ (-0.50)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.26)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 65.58%
Draw
1-1
@
9.6%
▼
(-0.37)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.19%
0-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.19%
Clermont
0-1
@
4.71%
▼
(-0.37)
1-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.23%
1-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.23%