Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Gigot (3')
Meite (34'), Nadir (84'), Gigot (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sebas (90+2')
Senaya (77'), Doukoure (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Thionville Lusitanos 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Avoine OCC 0-4 Strasbourg
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
61.37% ( -0.03)	21.38% ( 0.02)	17.25% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

-0.06)

44.93% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

-0.06)

67.28% (

0.05)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

-0.03)

14.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.22% (

-0.05)

41.78% (

0.05)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49% (

-0.02)

39.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8% (

-0.02)

76.2% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Marseille 61.36%

Strasbourg 17.25%

Draw 21.38%

Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 61.36%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.38%	0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.25%