Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
| 21.89% ( | 25.44% ( | 52.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.84% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% ( | 76.4% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% ( | 40.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( | 76.97% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( | 20.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( | 53.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 2-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.89% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( 0-2 @ 10.32% ( 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0-3 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.66% |