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Ligue 1

Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Strasbourg

Lorient
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Dieng (53')
Dieng (32'), Mendy (71'), Toure (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakwa (14'), Gameiro (49')
Perrin (68'), Sels (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.

Result
LorientDrawStrasbourg
34.73% (-1.596 -1.6)25.33%39.93% (1.597 1.6)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.208 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.179 -0.18)47.4% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-0.163 -0.16)69.62% (0.163 0.16)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-1.003 -1)26.36% (1.003 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-1.357 -1.36)61.5% (1.356 1.36)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.75 0.75)23.51% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (1.076 1.08)57.55% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 34.73%
    Strasbourg 39.93%
    Draw 25.33%
LorientDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.259 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.93%

How you voted: Lorient vs Strasbourg

Lorient
22.2%
Draw
48.1%
Strasbourg
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lorient
2-1
Strasbourg
Faivre (10', 36')
Abergel (89')
Bellegarde (57')
Bellegarde (66')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 15
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (87')
Moffi (5')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Lorient
0-0
Strasbourg
Innocent (22'), Ouattara (76')
Bellegarde (29'), Perrin (89')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Strasbourg
4-0
Lorient
Ajorque (28'), Diallo (39', 45+1'), Thomasson (64')
Sissoko (36')
> Preview
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (18')
Carole (10')
Chalobah (55')
Laporte (53')
> Preview