Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.