Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.