Coupe de France | Round of 64

Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stade du Roudourou

Guingamp
0 - 2
Rennes

Roux (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kalimuendo (45', 57')
Theate (41'), Gallon (88'), Yildirim (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Guingamp and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-0 Guingamp
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Rennes
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Guingamp	Draw	Rennes
24.06% ( 0.93)	25.48% ( 0.76)	50.46% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

-2.13)

53.36% (

2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

-1.83)

74.9% (

1.83)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

-0.32)

37.25% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

-0.32)

74.04% (

0.32)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

-1.55)

21.17% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96% (

-2.46)

54.03% (

2.46)

Score Analysis

Guingamp 24.06%

Rennes 50.45%

Draw 25.48%

Guingamp	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.06%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.45%