Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Rennes |
| 22.08% ( | 24.39% | 53.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( | 50.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( | 72.8% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( | 37.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% ( | 74.53% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( | 18.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( | 50.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.08% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.52% |