Serie A Gameweek 23
Frosinone
Feb 3, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe
AC Milan
  • Matias Soule 24' goal
  • Abdou Harroui 56' yellowcard
  • Luca Mazzitelli 65' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 17'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 43'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 48'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 72'
  • goal Luka Jovic 81'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'+5'

Frosinone vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
Hellas Verona 1 - 1 Frosinone
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matias Soule

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Frosinone 26.26% ▼ (-1.33)
Draw 23.69% ▼ (-0.08)
AC Milan 50.05% ▲ (+1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.26% ▼ (-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.9% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 44.1% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 33.52% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 3.5 66.49% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 4.5 17.17% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 4.5 82.83% ▲ (+0.49)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5 69.59% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 0.5 30.41% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 1.5 33.39% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 1.5 66.62% ▲ (+1.64)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.29% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 17.71% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 1.5 51.63% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 48.37% ▼ (-0.49)

Score analysis

Frosinone 26.26%
Draw 23.69%
AC Milan 50.05%
Frosinone
2-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.69%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.36)
0-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.05%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
AC Milan
Dec 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Frosinone
  • Luka Jovic 43' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 50' goal
  • Fikayo Tomori 74' goal
  • Luka Jovic 80' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Barrenechea 63'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 82'
Serie A Gameweek 37
AC Milan
May 19, 2019 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Frosinone
  • 0' yellowcard
  • Krzysztof Piatek 57' goal
  • Suso 66' goal
Serie A Gameweek 18
Frosinone
Dec 26, 2018 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)
AC Milan
  • Paolo Ghiglione 41' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Crisetig 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 40'
Serie A
AC Milan
May 1, 2016 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Frosinone
  • Mario Balotelli 26' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 45' yellowcard
  • Carlos Bacca 50' goal
  • Luca Antonelli 74' goal
  • Jeremy Menez 92' goal
  • goal Luca Paganini 2'
  • yellowcard Paolo Sammarco 10'
  • yellowcard Mirko Gori 19'
  • yellowcard Francesco Bardi 39'
  • goal Oliver Kragl 44'
  • yellowcard Oliver Kragl 45'
  • yellowcard Adriano Russo 48'
  • goal Federico Dionisi 54'
  • yellowcard Federico Dionisi 55'
  • yellowcard Vasyl Pryima 91'
Serie A
Frosinone
Dec 20, 2015 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Daniel Ciofani 19' goal
  • Aleksandar Tonev 45' yellowcard
  • Danilo Soddimo 55' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pavlovic 68' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 84' goal
  • Daniel Ciofani 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard M'Baye Niang 49'
  • goal Ignazio Abate 51'
  • goal Carlos Bacca 55'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 60'
  • goal Alex 77'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 83'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 93'

Form Data

Hellas Verona 1 - 1 Frosinone
Frosinone 3 - 1 Cagliari
Atalanta 5 - 0 Frosinone
Juventus 4 - 0 Frosinone
Frosinone 2 - 3 Monza
Lazio 3 - 1 Frosinone
AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna
Udinese 2 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 1 Roma
AC Milan 1 - 2 Atalanta
Empoli 0 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 4 - 1 Cagliari