Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.