Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
5 - 0
Frosinone

Koopmeiners (8' pen.), Ederson (13'), De Ketelaere (14'), Zappacosta (83'), Holm (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Romagnoli (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Frosinone
71.66% ( 0.08)	17.02% ( -0.05)	11.31% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86% (

0.12)

38.13% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.59% (

0.13)

60.4% (

-0.13)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.61% (

0.05)

9.38% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.41% (

0.12)

31.58% (

-0.12)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.24% (

0.02)

43.75% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

0.01)

79.92% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 71.65%

Frosinone 11.31%

Draw 17.02%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Frosinone
2-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 71.65%	1-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.02%	0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.31%