Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Sochaux win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.