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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Rennes

Lyon
2 - 3
Rennes

Henrique (57'), Lacazette (78')
Mata (33'), Nuamah (58')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Terrier (22', 41'), Doue (36')
Santamaria (7'), Stephan (8'), Truffert (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bergerac Perigord 1-2 Lyon
Friday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawRennes
32.68% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)25% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)42.32% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)46.38% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34% (0.045999999999999 0.05)68.66% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.11% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)62.5% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.078000000000003 0.08)55.15% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 32.68%
    Rennes 42.32%
    Draw 24.99%
LyonDrawRennes
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Lyon vs Rennes

Lyon
45.2%
Draw
27.4%
Rennes
27.4%
84
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 12
Rennes
0-1
Lyon

Salah (45'), Matic (75'), Theate (75')
Doue (5')
O'Brien (67')
Grosso (6'), Tagliafico (79')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 30
Lyon
3-1
Rennes
Tolisso (60'), Lacazette (68'), Barcola (79')
Gouiri (11')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Rennes
3-2
Lyon
Terrier (38', 77'), Gouiri (47')
Lacazette (23', 72')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 28
Lyon
2-4
Rennes
Traore (59' og.), Dembele (82' pen.)
Mendes (11'), Ndombele (20')
Bourigeaud (11'), Santamaria (13'), Majer (45+1'), Terrier (49')
Truffert (27'), Doku (68'), Gomis (80')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Rennes
4-1
Lyon
Laborde (45'), Traore (51'), Truffert (76', 83')
Santamaria (25'), Omari (34')
Paqueta (90+2' pen.)
Guimaraes (40'), Slimani (51')
> Preview