Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bergerac Perigord had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Bergerac Perigord win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Bergerac Perigord	Draw	Lyon
11.77% ( 0)	17.72% ( -0)	70.51% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

0.01)

40.18% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45% (

0.01)

62.54% (

-0.01)

Bergerac Perigord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.68% (

0.01)

44.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.62% (

0.01)

80.38% (

-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

10.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.53% (

33.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bergerac Perigord 11.77%

Lyon 70.5%

Draw 17.72%

Bergerac Perigord	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 3.68% 2-1 @ 3.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.77%	1-1 @ 8.4% 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.72%	0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-3 @ 8.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.12% 1-4 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.34% 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.39% Total : 70.5%