Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bergerac Perigord had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Bergerac Perigord win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.