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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
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Nice
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Rennes
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Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lyon

Le Havre
3 - 1
Lyon

Lloris (18'), Sabbi (50'), Operi (62')
Operi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lacazette (54')
O'Brien (30'), Caleta-Car (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pontarlier 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawLyon
30.5% (0.041 0.04)27.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)42.22% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.46% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.036999999999999 0.04)77.47% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)33.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.059000000000001 0.06)70.33% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)61.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 30.5%
    Lyon 42.21%
    Draw 27.27%
Le HavreDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.5%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.21%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lyon

Le Havre
18.6%
Draw
23.3%
Lyon
58.1%
43
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lyon
0-0
Le Havre
Lacazette (5'), Mata (41'), Kumbedi (79')
Bayo (38'), Casimir (65')