Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
| 30.5% ( | 27.28% ( | 42.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.53% ( | 56.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( | 77.47% ( |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( | 33.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.66% ( | 70.33% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.5% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.21% |