Le Havre
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Oceane
Caen

Le Havre
2 - 1
Caen

Joujou (16'), Kuzyaev (43')
Sangante (49'), Kechta (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kyeremeh (26')
Henry (90+2')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Le Havre and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Le Havre
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 0-0 Caen
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawCaen
32.37% (0.133 0.13)27.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)40.14% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (-0.152 -0.15)56.74% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.123 -0.12)77.68% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.49% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (-0.172 -0.17)27.67% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (-0.221 -0.22)63.22% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 32.36%
    Caen 40.14%
    Draw 27.48%
Le HavreDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.14%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 1.45pm
Gameweek 33
Caen
1-2
Le Havre
Ntim (89')
Lloris (42'), Targhalline (56')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
2-1
Caen
Lekhal (7' pen.), Thiare (76')
Lloris (24'), Kitala (45+3'), Sangante (56')
Kyeremeh (90+1')
Thomas (6'), Mendy (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Le Havre
2-4
Caen
Thiare (71'), Abline (86')
Boura (8'), Richardson (44'), Abline (58'), Thiare (76'), Kumbedi (77'), Cornette (84'), Gibaud (89'), Toure (90+1'), Bonnet (90+5')
Kumbedi (78')
Da Costa (38'), Deminguet (81' pen., 90+2'), Jeannot (85')
da Costa (34'), Lepenant (50'), Diani (56'), Oniangue (64'), Deminguet (82')
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 12
Caen
2-2
Le Havre
Mendy (31'), Chahiri (58')
Deminguet (79')
Boutaib (8'), Ibnou Ba (68')
Mayembo (58'), Boutaib (66'), Fofana (70')
Mar 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Caen
0-2
Le Havre

Rivierez (26'), Weber (33')
Alioui (5'), Bonnet (70')
Wahid (77'), Mahmoud (90+2')