Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
1 - 0
Bastia

Mendy (88')
Gaucho Debohi (77'), Brahimi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keita (33'), Janneh (67'), Djoco (74'), Tavares (90+3')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Angers 3-0 Caen
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Auxerre
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.

Result
CaenDrawBastia
44.7% (0.161 0.16)26.78% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)28.52% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (0.268 0.27)55.41% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (0.221 0.22)76.61% (-0.217 -0.22)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.199 0.2)24.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.277 0.28)59.2% (-0.274 -0.27)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.087 0.09)71.35% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Caen 44.69%
    Bastia 28.52%
    Draw 26.78%
CaenDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
3-1
Bastia
Saletros (50'), Mendy (69' pen., 82')
Bai (88')
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Bastia
1-0
Caen
Bai (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')
Feb 5, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Bastia
2-2
Caen
 Caen win 5-3 on penalties
Poggi (70'), Santelli (117')
Bocognano (8'), Kifoueti (77')
Tchokounte (4'), Ninga (94')
Sankoh (27'), Gradit (41'), Guilbert (84')