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-
Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi
77'
-
Alexandre Mendy
88'
-
Bilal Brahimi
89'
-
Cheick Keita
33'
-
Jocelyn Janneh
67'
-
Kapit Djoco
74'
-
Dylan Tavares
90'+3'
Caen vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
Result
Caen
44.7%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
26.78%
▼
(-0.08)
Bastia
28.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
49.25%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.59%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
55.41%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
23.39%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
76.61%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
10.36%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
89.64%
▼
(-0.14)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5
75.33%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
24.67%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
40.8%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
59.2%
▼
(-0.28)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5
65.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
34.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
28.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
71.35%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Caen
44.69%
Draw
26.78%
Bastia
28.52%
Caen
1-0
@
11.95%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.69%
2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.69%
Draw
1-1
@
12.68%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.78%
0-0 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.78%
Bastia
0-1
@
9.06%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.52%
1-2 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.52%