MX23RW : Friday, March 1 18:11:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen
1 - 0
Bastia
Mendy (88')
Gaucho Debohi (77'), Brahimi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keita (33'), Janneh (67'), Djoco (74'), Tavares (90+3')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 3-0 Caen
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Auxerre
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.

Result
CaenDrawBastia
44.7% (0.161 0.16) 26.78% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 28.52% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (0.268 0.27)55.41% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (0.221 0.22)76.61% (-0.217 -0.22)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.199 0.2)24.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.277 0.28)59.2% (-0.274 -0.27)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.087 0.09)71.35% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Caen 44.69%
    Bastia 28.52%
    Draw 26.78%
CaenDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
3-1
Bastia
Saletros (50'), Mendy (69' pen., 82')
Bai (88')
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Bastia
1-0
Caen
Bai (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')
Feb 5, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Bastia
2-2
Caen
Caen win 5-3 on penalties
Poggi (70'), Santelli (117')
Bocognano (8'), Kifoueti (77')
Tchokounte (4'), Ninga (94')
Sankoh (27'), Gradit (41'), Guilbert (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auxerre26149351262551
2Angers26144838281046
3Laval2612863126544
4Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2612593123841
5Grenoble26101063527840
6Caen2611693532339
7Rodez AFRodez AF2610884136538
8Ajaccio2610882625138
9PauPau2691073838037
10AmiensAmiens2691072124-337
11GuingampGuingamp269893129235
12Paris FCParis FC269893130135
13Bordeaux26106102932-335
14Concarneau2695122633-732
15Bastia2687112831-330
16Troyes2679103035-530
17DunkerqueDunkerque2686122437-1330
18Quevilly26510113437-325
19Annecy2658132738-1123
20Valenciennes2629151737-2015

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