Ligue 2 | Gameweek 13

Nov 4, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
2 - 1
Caen

Ilic (17'), Assoumou (64')
Ndiaye (38'), Said (41'), Dong (50'), Mazou-Sacko (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendy (61')
Abdi (21')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Troyes and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Paris FC 2-2 Troyes
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Caen
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Caen
29.49% ( 0.32)	25.7% ( 0.13)	44.81% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

-0.4)

50.68% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

-0.36)

72.58% (

0.35)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

0.02)

31.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

0.03)

67.79% (

-0.03)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

-0.38)

22.56% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

-0.57)

56.16% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Troyes 29.49%

Caen 44.81%

Draw 25.69%

Troyes	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.49%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.81%