/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Ftrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaelog.png)
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Luka Ilic
17'
-
Niakhate Ndiaye
38'
-
Rafiki Said
41'
-
Kyliane Dong
50'
-
Jaures Assoumou
64'
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Derek Mazou-Sacko
90'+2'
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Ali Abdi
21'
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Alexandre Mendy
61'
Troyes vs Caen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result
Troyes
29.49%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
25.7%
▲
(+0.14)
Caen
44.81%
▼
(-0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
53.11%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.32%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
50.68%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 3.5
27.42%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 3.5
72.58%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 4.5
12.92%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
87.07%
▲
(+0.24)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5
68.58%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
31.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
32.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
67.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5
77.43%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
22.56%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
43.84%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 1.5
56.16%
▲
(+0.57)
Score analysis
Troyes
29.49%
Draw
25.69%
Caen
44.81%
Troyes
1-0
@
8.21%
▲
(+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.49%
2-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
Caen
0-1
@
10.55%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.81%
1-2 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.81%