Ligue 2 | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut
Caen

Valenciennes
2 - 2
Caen

Lilepo (8'), Hamache (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Le Bihan (87'), Abdi (90+1')
Daubin (53'), Ntim (61')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last Game: Grenoble 3-3 Valenciennes
Saturday, October 21 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 1-1 Auxerre
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciennesDrawCaen
31.76% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)28.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07% (0.016000000000005 0.02)59.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.82% (0.012 0.01)80.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.31% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)29.34% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02)65.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 31.75%
    Caen 39.9%
    Draw 28.33%
ValenciennesDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 31.75%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.33%
0-1 @ 12.44%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.9%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Caen
2-1
Valenciennes
Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Bonnet (30')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Caen
1-1
Valenciennes
Bammou (52' pen.)
Deminguet (31'), Mendy (86')
Guel (5')
Pellenard (34'), Spano (51'), Ntim (65')