Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Guingamp

Caen
0 - 1
Guingamp


Thomas (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sagna (77')
Gomis (79'), Sidibe (89')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caen 1-2 Grenoble
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 0-0 Bordeaux
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
CaenDrawGuingamp
45.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)27.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.97% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.012 -0.01)57.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)78.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.0020000000000095 0)25.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)59.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)37.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (-0.02 -0.02)74.04% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Caen 45.93%
    Guingamp 26.87%
    Draw 27.19%
CaenDrawGuingamp
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.87%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-2
Caen
El Ouazzani (54')
Court (19'), Kyeremeh (42')
Aug 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Caen
4-1
Guingamp
Ntim (18'), Mendy (19'), Essende (52'), Jeannot (76' pen.)
Brahimi (49'), Mandrea (66'), Thomas (66')
Barthelme (6')
Quemper (12'), Livolant (66'), Cathline (66'), Diarra (78')
Diarra (79')
Apr 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 36
Guingamp
2-1
Caen
Pierrot (71'), Merghem (81')
Sivis (77')
Diani (14')
Vandermersch (56'), Mendy (63'), Court (68')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Caen
2-0
Guingamp
Da Costa (14'), Mendy (81' pen.)
Lepenant (65')

Roux (28'), Ba (32'), Merghem (42'), Lemonnier (73')
Roux (77'), Ndenbe (80')
Feb 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Guingamp
2-2
Caen
Pierrot (66'), Niakate (71')
Niakate (47'), Ntep (75')
Oniangue (26'), Mendy (55')
Gioacchini (50')