Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis Le Basser
Caen

Laval
2 - 1
Caen

Vargas (90+2'), Tchokounte (90+5' pen.)
Frapolli (45'), Kadile (56'), Vargas (78'), Martins (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abdi (77')
Daubin (44'), Mandrea (61'), Henry (90+4')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Laval and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Quevilly 0-0 Laval
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Laval had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Laval win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
LavalDrawCaen
27.36%28.45% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.19% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.79% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.42% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)81.58% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Laval Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.05% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)75.77% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)27.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.47% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Laval 27.35%
    Caen 44.19%
    Draw 28.44%
LavalDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 13.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 44.19%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 20
Caen
0-0
Laval
Oct 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Laval
4-0
Caen
Balde (13'), Durbant (31'), Sanna (57'), Adeoti (87')