Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38

Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Nouveau Stade du Hameau

Pau
1 - 0
Caen

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Caen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions

Last Game: Rodez AF 2-3 Pau
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Caen 2-2 St Etienne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Caen
28.13% ( 1.65)	27.76% ( 1.05)	44.1% ( -2.7)

Both teams to score 46.24% (

-1.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.86% (

-2.88)

59.14% (

2.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.42% (

-2.28)

79.58% (

2.28)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

-0.21)

36.94% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

-0.21)

73.73% (

0.21)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

-2.64)

26.67% (

2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.08% (

-3.61)

61.92% (

3.61)

Score Analysis

Pau 28.14%

Caen 44.1%

Draw 27.76%

Pau	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.97) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.14%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 1.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.28) Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.1%