Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Nouveau Stade du Hameau
Pau1 - 0Caen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rodez AF 2-3 Pau
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-2 St Etienne
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
We said: Pau 1-3 Caen
Although Pau will be fighting to avoid relegation, there is a clear gulf in quality between these two sides and we expect Caen to end the season on a high by securing a third victory in four matches. Moulin and his players will sense an excellent opportunity to lay down a marker for next season, and they will not be interested in handing out any favours to their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Caen |
28.13% ( 1.65) | 27.76% ( 1.05) | 44.1% ( -2.7) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( -1.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
