Ligue 2 | Gameweek 35

May 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
4 - 2
Nimes

Mendy (57' pen., 83' pen.), Mbock (69'), Kyeremeh (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (52'), Said (84')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Nimes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Bordeaux 1-0 Caen
Saturday, May 6 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nimes

All competitions

Last Game: Nimes 3-3 Valenciennes
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Nimes
61.22% ( -0.03)	22.68% ( 0.01)	16.1% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.63% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.85% (

-0.03)

52.15% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

-0.03)

73.86% (

0.03)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.39% (

-0.02)

16.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.57% (

-0.04)

46.42% (

0.04)

Nimes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.72% (

45.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.85% (

81.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Caen 61.21%

Nimes 16.1%

Draw 22.67%

Caen	Draw	Nimes
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.21%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.67%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.1%