Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.