Ligue 2 | Gameweek 37

May 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 2
St Etienne

Mendy (83'), Essende (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wadji (15', 23')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Amiens 1-3 Caen
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 4-2 Quevilly
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Caen	Draw	Saint-Etienne
41.58% ( 0.15)	24.71% ( 0.03)	33.71% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.26% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.21% (

-0.17)

44.79% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.85% (

-0.16)

67.15% (

0.16)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

-0)

21.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

-0)

54.65% (

-0)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28% (

-0.19)

25.72% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

-0.25)

60.65% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Caen 41.58%

Saint-Etienne 33.71%

Draw 24.7%

Caen	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.58%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.71%