Ligue 2 | Gameweek 34

May 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
3 - 2
Guingamp

Moueffek (21'), Cafaro (82'), Wadji (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

El Ouazzani (12'), Courtet (45')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Saint-Etienne and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Rodez AF 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Guingamp

All competitions

Last Game: Guingamp 3-1 Laval
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Guingamp
56.49% ( -0.08)	23.06% ( -0.29)	20.46% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

1.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

1.7)

47.37% (

-1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

1.56)

69.59% (

-1.55)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44% (

0.58)

16.56% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.66% (

1.03)

46.34% (

-1.03)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.63% (

1.37)

37.37% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

1.32)

74.16% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 56.48%

Guingamp 20.46%

Draw 23.05%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.48%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.46%