Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Avinel (36' og.), Mendy (45', 63')
Kyeremeh (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bayala (53'), Bammou (66')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Ligue 2

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Ajaccio
46.3% ( -0)	27.67% ( 0)	26.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.1% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1% (

-0)

59.9% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84% (

-0)

80.16% (

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0)

25.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11% (

-0)

60.89% (

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

39.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

75.85% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Caen 46.3%

Ajaccio 26.03%

Draw 27.66%

Caen	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.03%