Ligue 2 | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Caen

Concarneau
0 - 2
Caen


Mouazan (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendy (54' pen.), Abdi (90+2')
Brahimi (65')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Concarneau and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Concarneau

All competitions
Last Game: Bordeaux 1-0 Concarneau
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Pau
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
ConcarneauDrawCaen
31.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)28.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)39.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.72% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)81.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.69% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)72.46% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.45% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34%66.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Concarneau 31.58%
    Caen 39.55%
    Draw 28.85%
ConcarneauDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 31.58%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 12.92%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 7.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 39.55%