Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 0
Pau

Daubin (38'), Mendy (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kante (36')
Kante (58')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 3-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawPau
42.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.45% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.89% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.87% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.010999999999996 0.01)33.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.012 0.01)69.9% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Caen 42.49%
    Pau 30.45%
    Draw 27.04%
CaenDrawPau
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.45%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Pau
1-0
Caen
George (31')
D'Almeida (35')
D'Almeida (76')

Thomas (35'), Sylla (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Caen
1-1
Pau
Abdi (23')
Saivet (7')
Feb 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
Pau
1-0
Caen
Koffi (59')
Daubin (54')

Lepenant (69'), Oniangue (73'), Deminguet (78'), Abdi (90')
Sep 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Caen
1-2
Pau
Rivierez (23')
Zady (31')
Gomis (42'), Armand (59')
Daubin (37'), Lambert Evans (71')
Apr 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Caen
1-1
Pau
Mendy (38')
Riou (56' og.)
Lobry (42'), Batisse (76')