Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Credit Agricole de la Licorne

Amiens
4 - 1
Guingamp

Leautey (42'), Mafouta (77', 90+1'), Kakuta (81')
Kakuta (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

El Ouazzani (40')
Guillaume (13'), Louiserre (53'), Sidibe (62'), Basilio (78')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Amiens and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Amiens

All competitions

Last Game: Bordeaux 2-0 Amiens
Saturday, August 26 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Guingamp

All competitions

Last Game: Guingamp 4-0 Pau
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 36%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.

Result
Amiens	Draw	Guingamp
36% ( 0.52)	29.46% ( -0.1)	34.54% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 43.59% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.63% (

0.32)

63.37% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.27% (

0.23)

82.73% (

-0.22)

Amiens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.51)

33.49% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

0.56)

70.12% (

-0.55)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

-0.12)

34.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

-0.12)

71.18% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Amiens 36%

Guingamp 34.54%

Draw 29.46%

Amiens	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.46%	0-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.54%