Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
AJ Auxerre

Caen
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aye (52' og.)
Ntim (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abdi (6' og.)
Jubal (40')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Auxerre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 5-3 Caen
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 0-2 Auxerre
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
CaenDrawAuxerre
38.87% (0.1 0.1)26.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)35.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)50.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-0.012 -0.01)72.25% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.043999999999997 0.04)25.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.065000000000005 0.07)60.17% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)27.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)63.02% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Caen 38.87%
    Auxerre 35.12%
    Draw 26%
CaenDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Caen
1-1
Auxerre
Deminguet (89')
Cisse (41'), Abdi (83'), da Costa (90')
Charbonnier (40')
Arcus (55'), Ndom (78')
Autret (48')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Auxerre
2-2
Caen
Riou (45+1' og.), Jubal (81')
Pellenard (53')
Mendy (13'), Vandermersch (76')
Vandermersch (90+1')
May 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Caen
0-0
Auxerre
Fouda (27'), Deminguet (54'), Traore (86')
Dugimont (57'), Camara (75'), Bellugou (85')
Jan 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Auxerre
1-1
Caen
Dugimont (53')
Lloris (3')
Hein (90+2')
Jeannot (81')
Vandermersch (6')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 32
Caen
P-P
Auxerre