Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Rodez AF	Draw	Caen
32.4% ( 0.04)	27.86% ( 0)	39.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.9% (

-0.01)

58.09% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.23% (

-0.01)

78.76% (

Rodez AF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82% (

0.02)

33.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

0.03)

69.77% (

-0.03)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

-0.03)

28.55% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

-0.04)

64.33% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Rodez AF 32.39%

Caen 39.74%

Draw 27.85%

Rodez AF	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.74%