Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.