Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Concarneau in this match.