Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Concarneau	Draw	Saint-Etienne
26.72% ( -0.04)	24.58% ( -0.01)	48.71% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38% (

0.01)

47.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

0.01)

69.82% (

-0.01)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

-0.03)

31.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

-0.03)

68.36% (

0.03)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

0.03)

19.6% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.46% (

0.04)

51.54% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Concarneau 26.72%

Saint-Etienne 48.7%

Draw 24.57%

Concarneau	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.72%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.7%